St Kilda’s season continues to falter, with two wins in their last 11 matches. Hawthorn, pushing for a top-four finish, will look to exploit the Saints’ struggles, with players like Mabior Chol and Jack Gunston in fine form. The Hawks’ midfield, led by Jai Newcombe, is expected to dominate the clearances.
Tip: Hawthorn by 22 – The Hawks’ momentum and form make them favourites against the Saints.
As the 2025 AFL season progresses, Round 17 presents an intriguing matchup between St Kilda and Hawthorn at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, July 5, at 7:40 PM AEST. This game is pivotal for both teams, each with distinct motivations and challenges.
Team Form and Recent Performances
St Kilda enters this contest with a 5-10 record, having lost six of their last seven matches. Their most recent outing was a narrow 12-point defeat to Fremantle, where they led by 14 points in the final quarter before conceding four unanswered goals. Despite the loss, players like Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera and Rowan Marshall showcased commendable performances, with Wanganeen-Milera accumulating 28 disposals and a goal, and Marshall contributing 22 touches and 10 clearances.
In contrast, Hawthorn is on an upward trajectory, securing three consecutive victories, including a dominant 85-point win over North Melbourne. Their recent form underscores their aspirations for a top-four finish, making this matchup crucial for their finals ambitions.
Key Matchup: Midfield Battle
The midfield contest will be central to the game’s outcome. Hawthorn’s midfielders have been in excellent form, and their ability to control the stoppages and clearances will be vital. St Kilda’s midfielders, including Wanganeen-Milera and Marshall, will need to elevate their performances to compete effectively.
AFL Betting Tips and Predictions
Given the current form disparity, Hawthorn is favored to win. The Hawks have a strong record against bottom-six teams, often winning by significant margins. Considering this, betting on Hawthorn to cover a -18.5 point line appears promising. However, St Kilda’s resilience and the potential for individual brilliance from players like Wanganeen-Milera and Marshall mean they shouldn’t be underestimated.
Venue Advantage
Marvel Stadium’s enclosed environment can favor teams with quick ball movement and precise kicking. Hawthorn’s recent high-scoring games suggest they can exploit such conditions effectively. St Kilda will need to adapt their game plan to counteract Hawthorn’s strengths and capitalize on any opportunities.
Final Thoughts:
This Round 17 clash is more than just a regular-season game; it’s a defining moment for both teams. Hawthorn aims to solidify its top-four aspirations, while St Kilda seeks to turn its season around. Fans can anticipate an engaging contest, with pivotal performances likely to influence the final result.