Brisbane Lions v Richmond Preview, Gabba

The injury-hit Brisbane Lions’ season remains in the balance, but they have improved
significantly in winning and drawing over the last fortnight. Despite enduring five ACLs
injuries, the Lions seemed to have unearthed some young talent in the process and their
more experienced players are starting to find form. Back at the Gabba, the Lions should
build percentage against a struggling Richmond unit who are reeling following a hiding to the
Western Bulldogs. Injuries have also decimated the Tigers and it is hard to see them going
to close against the Lions.

TIP: Brisbane Lions by 41 points, Joe Daniher to kick three or more goals

Brisbane Lions v Richmond: What the Numbers Actually Say

Richmond haven’t looked like themselves for a while now. That hiding from the Western Bulldogs wasn’t a one-off – they’ve been leaking big scores and struggling to string consistent quarters together. With key personnel still on the injury list, it’s hard to see them travelling to the Gabba and producing anything close to their best footy.
Brisbane, for their part, have been tougher to beat lately. Yes, the ACL toll has been brutal, but some of the younger blokes stepping in have held their own. Charlie Cameron and Joe Daniher have been finding their groove again, and home crowd advantage at the Gabba is never something to brush off.

From an AFL betting tips standpoint, the Lions look good value on the line here. The AFL betting predictions leaning toward a comfortable Brisbane win aren’t hard to argue against when you look at the head-to-head form and Richmond’s recent defensive output. If you’ve been following AFL expert tips through the back half of the season, Brisbane at home has been a pretty reliable play.

Worth noting for anyone also tracking NRL betting odds this weekend – cross-code punters will have plenty on their plate, but this one shapes as one of the cleaner AFL calls on the card.