6/09/2025
A weekend of close calls, that said, we still had our best bet of the day winning, and a 2nd and two 3rds from the other highlighted plays.
Still showing a 19.91% POT and a $2,608 profit from a $20 per unit investment.
As we get further into the Spring the quality gets better, this week back to Flemington for the Group 1 Makybe Diva Stakes.
If you’ve been tracking the Moonee Valley form lately, there are plenty of moments to reflect on and room to sharpen your Racing Tips as we move deeper into Spring. Last weekend’s result showed how tight races have gotten: even when favourites don’t quite dominate, there’s still value in identifying those with consistency and upside.
Recent Trends & What They Tell Us
Take the best bet from 6 September: it came through, while two second-placings and two thirds were also recorded among other highlighted plays. That tells you that backing selections with strong recent runs even if they don’t always win can pay off. If a horse has been finishing in the placings consistently, especially over the same distance or track condition, that’s something to factor in for your Horse Racing Tips. The margin between 1st and 2nd can be slim, but repeated good performances build confidence.
Also noteworthy: the quality of fields has been rising as we head into the Spring. Group events are becoming more competitive, and Moonee Valley has thrown up some surprises lately. So assessing jockey/horse combinations and their ability to handle pressure on the inside or under speed bias becomes more important than ever. Don’t just look at raw form think about how they’ve navigated tight lanes, how they’ve settled, and whether they’ve been resilient in late surges.
Applying Strong Racing Tips
When building your Racing Tips, start with recent performance over the specific track or similar tracks. For example, if a horse placed in the last three starts over a Moonee Valley layout (tight turns, often quick pace), that’s a tick. Also, be wary of horses trying a steep drop in distance or changing surface—sometimes that risk pays off, sometimes it doesn’t. Look for horses that maintain momentum: if they’ve been finishing strong in recent runs, there might be a breaking-point where they finally win.
Don’t ignore the watchers at the track either insider info, post-race comments, stable moves, barrier draws all feed into better judgement. Pairing that with statistical form gives you a more rounded base for your Horse Racing Tips.
Racing Podcasts: An Add-On Edge
One of the under-used tools is staying plugged into Racing Podcasts. They often feature interviews with trainers, jockeys and analysts who reveal subtle but crucial info how the horse feels in work, how it took to the track, whether there’s something happening behind the scenes. Hearing that kind of ground-level insight can sharpen your predictions more than just reading form sheets. Try listening in before the big meetings: there’s usually something you won’t have seen in the numbers.