Racing Tips: Moonee Valley 6/09/2025

R3-4

R4-2 best value play

R5-3 best bet of the day

R8-6

R1 – No Bet

R2 – #6 (1 win unit)

R3 – #4 (2 win units)

R4 – #2 (1.5 win units)

R5 – #3 (3 win units)

R6 – No Bet

R7 – #5 (1.5 win units)

R8 – #6 (2 win units)

R9 – #12 (1 win unit)

R10 – #4 (0.5 win unit) and #7 (0.5 win unit)

TOTAL INVESTMENT – 13 units

R1- We kick off proceedings with a very even race, all but one runner having claims to win.

With little confidence I have Ornos on top from Godtfred Kirk.

Ornos is deserved of a change of luck, and he could get that here. Godtfred Kirk was also luckless last start when very labelled in the betting. Barrier 2 is a slight concern here, if he gets clear running then he will go close.

Crossbow can win although I was a tiny bit disappointed with him last start.

Graphic Sight has been ridden quietly lately, there may be a change of tactics here, if he gets an uncontested lead then he could be the blowout .

Miewa is another with a live chance.

No Bet

R2- Savilla was good when winning first up at Sale. She is unbeaten 2^nd up, gets Shinn to steer, and should get a cosy run from the draw.

Yachiyo is a lightly raced and promising mare, I think she has the greatest scope of the runners here. My concern with her is barrier one, she might get buried back in the field.

Moonlight Circus has returned from a spell in great shape and can acquit herself well again. She is drawn to settle midfield and finish strongly.

Jazz Affair is usually thereabouts, that said she has been up for a while and has struggled to greet the judge first for some time.

Backing #6 Savilla (1 win unit)

R3- One of the better bets arrives here in the shape of The Creator. This well-travelled fella returned to the winners list last start and I can see a repeat here. He is a winner at the track n trip, is drawn to race forward, gets nice weight relief for Logan Bates and is a 4^th up winner. The $8 on offer (missed the $11) is still great value.

Presser is the danger, he has really blossomed since joining the Bedggood team, has an excellent 3^rd up record and has won his only start at the track, a big tick given many don’t handle it.

Kings Valley is a good horse; he had no luck when trapped wide first up and that run was better than it appears on paper. He can be in the finish with the right run.

Reset The Jazz is honest and always runs well, he will be competitive again.

Backing #4 The Creator (2 win units)

R4- I like Lincoln Rocks here, he gets lots of ticks – flies 2^nd up, loves the 2000m, has an excellent Valley record, is going to improve dramatically of its first up run, and gets a beneficial claim for Ryan Houston who is riding well. The $11 is very succulent.

Miss Tarzy has had excuses since it did us a great favour first up. For her to have the best chance of winning she needs to be ridden quieter, that has the potential to happen here from a soft barrier draw.

Navy King was good when winning last start and can repeat that here, he just needs to overcome a sticky gate.

Dream All Day is another with a wide draw, if Micky Dee can overcome that obstacle then she should be finishing hard late.

Backing #2 Lincoln Rocks (1.5 win units)

R5- The best bet on the card is the exciting horse, Angel Capital. He has had his share of setbacks in his career thus far and since transferring to Waller he has had two nice trials, the last one just a spin around to see where he was at. They have since shipped him off to their Flemington yard in readiness for this. If he’s 95% right, then he will brain this lot.

Zou Sensation has gone to another level recently and is going for 4 on the trot, he has a good record at the track/trip and if there is a chink in the armour of Angel Capital then he will be ready to capitalise.

Red Hot Nic will look to control from the front and its last start win was very good. This is another step up, but he is racing too well to dismiss.

Miraval Rose resumes here and can pull out a good run when fresh, she can fill a minor spot.

Backing #3 Angel Capital (3 win units)

R6- A tricky race presents here, mainly due to the unraced Rosberg and the significant unknown around this horse with untapped ability.

Whilst the race looks open on paper, I think one of Estremo and Rosberg will win.

Estremo comes out on top given his experience, proven form, barrier, jockey, and race map. I think he will camp midfield and be strong late off the back of the speed put on by Space Rider and Bacash.

The tactic around Rosberg is another huge query, in his trials and jump outs, he has led, sat back, raced outside the lead, perhaps their strategy has been about finding where his best spot is and teaching him adaptability. There is no doubt he has plenty of talent, we just need to see how that plays out on race day.

Space Rider, Bacash, and Beskar are all nice horses, I doubt if they are in the same class as Estremo and Rosberg though.

A great race to watch from a future viewpoint.

No Bet

R7- A nice field of 3yo sprinting fillies awaits us here and I’ve settled on Ole Dancer. After debuting in a moderate race in Adelaide, this girl turned up at Caulfield and confirmed the big wraps by scoring decisively. With natural improvement she is the one they all need to beat, her main obstacle is the outside barrier, if Shinn can slot her in and there is good pace then she will be too strong late.

The Playwright could be the testing material; it will jump n run in a race where there doesn’t appear to be too many that will pressure her. If she gets soft sectionals, then they may struggle to run her down.

Ferivia beat the highly talented My Gladiola last start, those are excellent credentials for this. She is a leading contender.

The Sydney visitor Southern Heiress is one to keep an eye on, she will be storming home late, I suspect the Thousand Guineas will be her target if she measures up. I win here wont surprise though.

Backing #5 Ole Dancer (1.5 win units)

R8- The import Moira is one of my plays of the day, this mare was outstanding behind Private Eye first up and whilst the Underwood in a couple of weeks’ time looks at her mercy, I have her winning this on the way. In both her runs in Oz she has given off the aura of a serious horse and the Waller team are very bullish about her ability. Her run when resuming supports that mindset, she could blow this lot away. Again, an awkward draw is the only negative I see.

Desert Lightning is a horse I have a healthy opinion of, and he is very close to a win off some excellent Brisbane winter efforts and a lovely run in the race Moira contested. He will need a little luck from the gate but is good enough to overcome it.

Attrition hasn’t won for nearly 12 months but is too good to dismiss, at his best he will give this lot a fright.

Zardozi is a very good horse and well up to this. I’d suggest that she has bigger targets in 6-8 weeks and won’t be anywhere near her peak yet.

Backing #6 Moira (2 win units)

R9- The race of the day and what a contest we have here. SPEED SPEED SPEED!!!

The Kiwi raider Alabama Lass is the one they must beat. This mare was unluckily nudged out in the Group 1 Railway Stakes back home and then headed over in the Autumn to ready her for this assault. She is high class, high speed and what ever beats her will win. There is some mental case speed in this race, I hope that Craig Williams gets his tactics right now that Esha is in the field.

If they do overcook it then Skybird and Niance are the dangers, both mares can take up a spot just off the speed and produce excellent closing sectionals.

Baraqiel was good last start and is very honest, as is the evergreen Rothfire, he will also benefit from a crazy tempo.

Backing #12 Alabama Lass (1 win unit)

R10- We close out the day with a highly competitive race and I’ve gone looking for a little bit of value.

I’m going to have a small bets on Eye Of The Fire and Cavallo Rampante.

Eye Of The Fire hasn’t had the best of luck so far this time in and I’m hoping his luck changes here. He’s hard fit now, draws to track a good speed, Mott sticks with him after his nice effort last start and the $19 seems overs to me.

Cavallo Rampante had a nice hit out first up, is a 2^nd up winner, loves the Valley, will settle midfield and look to get home hard late. The $61 currently on offer is ridiculous and certainly worthy of a small wager.

King Zephyr and La Fracas dominate the market although they are a tad skinny for me, they are both excellent chances but not at those prices.

Backing #4 Eye Of The Fire (0.5 win units) and Cavallo Rampante (0.5 win units).

R1-5,1,2,4,6 (no bet)

R2-6x,11,5,4

R3-4xx,7,1,3

R4-2x gv,3,10,15

R5-3xxx best/day,2,5,4

R6-tricky 5,9 huge ability/green?,1,2,4

R7-5x,1,2,10

R8-6xx,4,2,13

R9-12x,11,14..7,1

R10-tiny bets 4&7..3,1

Best of luck if you’re playing.