Racing Tips: Flemington 8/11/2025

R2-2

R3-14

R6-10 best of the day

R9-11

R1 – No Bet

R2 – #2 Sabaj (2 win units)

R3 – #14 Vestas (2 win units)

R4 – No Bet

R5 – No Bet

R6 – #10 Tentyris (3 win units)

R7 – No Bet

R8 – No Bet

R9 – #11 Sweethearted (2 win units)

TOTAL INVESTMENT – 9 units

R1– We kick off with a 2yo race of limited exposed form.

From a future viewpoint I’m interested in watching Calamari Ring, Scorching Beauty, Sheza Boom, and Wings Of Glory.

No Bet

R2- Sabaj was scratched last week to be saved for this and I’m thinking they’ve pulled the right rein. He ran super when first up in Sydney in an arguably tougher race than this. White hot Zahra takes over; he won at his only attempt 2^nd up and was good at his only try at 1600M. He should be winning.

Seven’s was good winning last start, loves rain affected ground, and he looks the likely danger if there is one.

Nation’s Call was also good when winning last start, this fella is a deadest mudlark, if there’s more rain than is currently predicted then he will come into it further.

My Brothers Keeper can pull out a big run at times, throw it into your trifecta if you have one, it’s better than a 100/1 chance.

Backing #2 Sabaj (2 win units)

R3- Some lovely horses to dash down the straight here.

I really like Vestas as a horse, his first run this time in was one of the best of the beaten brigades in a meeting dominated by on pace runners. Last start again a leader won, and The Valley isn’t his track. He will settle in the back half of the field and storm down the outside. The $5.50 currently on offer is luxurious, I have him marked half of that.

Big Swinger is his danger, he is a lovely horse, unbeaten first up, gets in good at the weights and the barrier gives Williams options. I think one of these two will win.

For those looking outside these two, Verdad has good ability and can produce a run fresh, he is no $41 chance, I have him marked less than half that.

Coco Jamboo was scratched from a race I gave her a good chance on Tuesday in favour of this, it’s a weird move but I am going to respect it and perhaps have a small note on it as insurance.

Backing #14 Vestas (2 win units)

R4- This is a tricky race where She’s A Hustler will probably be too good for an average lot. I must say it’s disappointing to see a 2000M mares race with such little quality.

Bon Mistress might be one to speck at odds, she has been good in her two runs from a spell, and her latest effort was excellent given she had no luck whatsoever. The $23 appears over the odds to me.

Sea What I See chased the fave last start and has a 6kg weight turnaround on that horse here, it’s weird what the market is doing, and I can’t understand why. Confirming my thought process to stay away.

Movin Out is racing poorly but a return to form would have it as a major player here.

No Bet

R5- Another race of many chances and one I’m not keen to bet into.

Etna Rosso came out on top with little confidence, he draws well, gets a jockey upgrade to Ben Melham, and will run the distance right out.

Stablemate Star of India was good when winning last start in a race that was set up for it. The distance should prove no issue, Zahra goes on, and if there is good speed it should be finishing hard late in the piece.

Another Waller entrant Birdman is one of the leading hopes, it didn’t get a run in the Melbourne Cup and has the grounding to be cherry ripe for this. He has excellent stats at the trip, gets JMac on and should prove difficult to beat.

The Japanese runner Golden Snap is the query runner, it never travelled in the Caulfield Cup, and the rider blamed the track, Micky Dee goes on which is a huge upgrade.

No Bet

R6- Now the real excitement starts. The emerging superstar Tentrytis will give this lot the short back n sides. His last two wins have been nothing short of scintillating, and he should continue on his winning way. The only slight query is the 7-day back up, that said, he is too valuable a prospect to be sending around if he hasn’t done very well this week.  If he runs, he wins IMO.

Joliestar is the obvious danger after its win in The Shorts and its creditable run in The Everest, that said it’s worth noting that Tempted beat it home easily that day and Tentyris would give Tempted a bath. Joliestar is good for Tentyris, we get a better price.

Place chances to Tropicus, Giga Kick and Benedetta.

Backing #10 Tentyris (3 win units)

R7- The Champions Mile, and what a spectacle this promises to be, unfortunately not a race I want to bet in as Pride Of Jenni keeps breaking my heart haha.

I have Ceowulf on top after his recent return to form. Joe Pride has always said this is the best horse he has trained and that is a huge wrap given some of the excellent horses he has through his barn. I’m going this way as I think they will put more pressure on POJ here with Lake Forest, especially after the comments from Mrs Haggas after Zac Purton’s recent ride. Ceowulf has also switched on fabulously since the blinkers were applied.

Mr Brightside is an absolute beauty; he could be the one getting the cosy run behind the speed and he may well steal a march on them at the 200M. One thing is for sure; he will go down swinging, he’s a warrior.

Treasurethemoment was outstanding in the Cox Plate after an illness interrupted campaign, she will sit 4^th fence im thinking and with even luck will be in the finish.

Pride Of Jenni could do as she usually does if Lake Forest doesn’t annoy her, and that’s blow her rivals off the park.

What a race, I can’t wait to watch, and so aptly named.

No Bet

R8- The Champions Stakes, and we see another champion here with Via Sistina. Whilst her win in this year’s Cox Plate wasn’t as emphatic as last years, it was still outstanding. She showed grit and determination and showed real character when Buckaroo looked to have her measure at the 100M mark. She mightn’t be at her scintillating best, but she is going well enough to account for this lot. Only worry is drawing barrier 10 but we will leave that to JMac to sort out. I can’t take $1.65 although I do think she will win and win comprehensibly.

Point King is one to throw into your exotics if that’s the way you want to play. He loves the track, was good first up and has an excellent 2^nd up record. If there is a boilover then it could be him at $41.

Benagil is a lovely mare, and I like her as a horse, is she in the Via Sistina class, absolutely no, can she run a place here, my word she can.

Pier is above average and looks like he will enjoy the step out in trip to 2000M, I’ll be throwing it into my trifecta.

No Bet

R9- We wind up a wonderful Cup Week with another dash down the historical Flemington straight.

I am keen on Sweethearted here, he was made to do too much work from its outside draw first up and its condition just gave out late. That was a fabulous conditioner for this race, he will settle back wide and with cover from its draw and sool home over the top of them late. Daniel Stackhouse knows him well, the stable is firing, he has good 2^nd up form, and there is an abundance of early speed to set it up for the ‘run on’ horses.

Stolli Bolli has the right set up here and will be in the finish. He does manage to always find one better though, and the $3 is too skinny.

Grand Larceny has returned in good order and is ultra-consistent, although he has never been down the straight, I think he may be suited.

Actuality has raced down this course previously and went well when running 2^nd. Her recent win at Seymour had merit and she must go into the quaddy.

Backing #11 Sweethearted (2 win units)

R1- little exposed form, watching 9,10,11,12

R2- 2xx,14,11,6 flukers hope

R3-14xx,15….rough hopes 11,7

R4-tricky 5,11,6,10

R5-open race – 4,7,1,5??

R6-10xxx best/day…6,5,1,8 

R7-2,1,9,7

R8-10xxx,8,11,6

R9-11xx,6,3,16

Best of luck if you’re playing.