Racing Tips: Caulfield 20/09/2025

R1-5

R2-9 best of the day

R5-6

R6-6

R7-10

R1 – #5 Prince Eric (2 win units)

R2 – #9 Shadhavar (3 win units)

R3 – No Bet

R4 – No bet

R5 – #6 Planet Red (2 win units)

R6 – #6 Vivid Sun (2 win units)

R7 – #10 Moira (2 win units)

R8 – #1 Another Wil and #15 Miss Roumbini (both 1 win unit)

R9 –  #3 Future History (0.5 win units)

R10 – #9 Lincoln Rocks (1 win unit)

TOTAL INVESTMENT – 14.5 units

R1- We kick off proceedings with a BM78 over the mile and I like Prince Eric to start us off on the right leg. His first up run had plenty of merit, its sectionals from the 600m and its last 200M were very good. He is drawn favourably,  goes well 2^nd up, and loves the 1600M trip. It’s a race where I can find quite a few negatives around those that are his perceived dangers.

The Creator and Al Duca appear to be the toughest to beat, The Creator might get a few favours from a pace respect and benefits greatly from Logan Bates’ claim, he also performs very well at the distance.

Al Duca is honest and should camp up outside The Creator, he will need to work a little from the draw, and is going well enough to win. I just think these two will lay a nice platform for Prince Eric to finish over the top of them.

Presser is racing consistently and will be somewhere around the placings, he is hard fit now after 3 runs from a spell, that said he has been struggling to greet the judge in first place recently.

Backing #5 Prince Eric (2 win units)

R2- The best bet on the card pops up here in the shape of Shadhavar. This mare was a mighty run over this track and trip at Caulfield recently, it missed the start slightly, worked hard to get around them to take up a forward position, and had the audacity to charge to the front at the 250M. He was run own late by a horse that had a much softer run. It’s also worth noting that they beat the others in that race convincingly. She gets a lovely run from a soft barrier behind Deep Pleasure and will sprint past it at the 200M and be far too strong for them late.

Cavity Bay can run a cheeky race whilst fresh, she usually performs well when first up and if they go quick in front then she will be charging home at big odds.

Eagle Express was a good last start winner for Waller and looks to hold her form, she did get plenty of favours last start being the recipient of a fabulous Damian Lane ride. The step up from midweek to Saturday racing is something she needs to overcome.

Deep Pleasure is lightly raced and has never finished further back than 2^nd in its 5 starts, she will run another honest race.

Backing #9 Shadhavar (3 win units)

R3- Gee we find an even lot here with most of the runners having claims and luck in running to play a huge part.

I ended up settling on the SA visitor Karavas but with only moderate confidence. On her day she can reel off nice finishing sectionals although she needs conditions to suit, primarily from a race tempo aspect. Hopefully, Williams can ride her a little more positively from the gate and sit 3 horses back on the fence and get luck in the straight obtaining a run.  If she gets that then she’s a big hope around the $14 mark.

In a race of dubious tempo, Austmarr may get an easy time in front and prove difficult to run down. It has won once when resuming although it is better suited after its first up run, to offset that is a cushy barrier and Zahra to dictate the speed.

Lovelycut was good on resumption and drops a significant 6.5kgs for this, Frosty Lane knows her well having won twice previously and she excels at the 1200M.

Stretan Angel would give these a bath at her best, she hasn’t won in her past 15 runs though. Putting that aside, she is a winner of well more than a million dollars in prize money and boasts and exceptional 2^nd up record. It certainly won’t surprise if she wins this.

No Bet

R4- Another tricky event where I struggled to piece it together, several resumer’s, horses out of form, chances with sticky draws etc.

For the record I settled on Tiger Shark who was entered for The Shorts in Sydney and has elected to come here. If he had drawn more favourably, then I would be betting, but he is going to need a fair whack of luck. If he gets some favours, then he will go very close.

Nadal is the best horse in the field and could be the beneficiary of a breakneck speed (read Recommendation, Red Hot Nicc, Jigsaw, Tiger Shark), if the betting suggests that he is ready to go first up then he could blow them away.

Red Hot Nicc will be in it for a long way, being back in distance to 1100M and returning to Caulfield are two big ticks in his favour.

Oak Hill has been below par in its latest efforts, if he returns to his best then he will be hard to beat.

No bet

R5- The Caulfield Guineas Prelude and this gives us a glimpse at some of the better 3-year-olds, albeit there are a few of the very top shelf brigade missing here.

Planet Red comes out on top for me. This fella has performed well in his 3 starts to date, winning 2 of them. His recent defeat had excuses when he was badly held up at a vital stage when gaining momentum. I see him getting a lovely run off a low draw and having plenty of time to build his revs to run over the top of them. The step up to 1400M suits perfectly and Zahra will look to make amends off his unlucky passage last start.

Estremo will be much better suited at the longer trip and is the main danger, the wider expanses of Caulfield will be to his advantage also rather than the tight Valley circuit.

Cinturato looks an interesting runner from the Mark Walker camp, I really liked his effort at effort at Sale, I suggest he is one to follow as the races get longer.

Stay Cosmic has done little wrong in his 4 career starts and can’t be dismissed, he has above average ability.

Backing #6 Planet Red (2 win units)

R6- One of the better bets on the card presents here with the highly promising Vivid Sun. This Moody/Coleman filly showed her adaptability last start when being ridden totally different to her debut victory when she led,  at her recent win she sat last and rounded them up with ease. Horses that have only had a couple of starts rarely do this unless they are very smart. She is beautifully bred, Shinn stays on, and with plenty of pace on paper I think the race will be run to suit her style.

If there is a danger, it will come from Lathlain. This lovely daughter of Shamus Award was impressive at her first trip to the races when she showed a terrific turn of foot to easily account for her opposition in a race that wasn’t really run to suit horses back in the field. She rated very well that day and as the races get longer, we might see a nice horse in the better fillies’ races. Worth noting that as soon as prices went up there was plenty of money for her ($21 into $10), I’d suggest that she was never a $20 chance, and they are sniping the ‘overs’.

Minor hopes are Ruska Roma, who will need to be adaptable given she won’t have things to suit like her last run, and Spicy Lu, who has ability and will have derived plenty of benefit from its first up effort in Sydney.

Backing #6 Vivid Sun (2 win units)

R7- The first of out Group 1’s and this is the race they have set for Moira this prep. This imported mare was great when first up behind Private Eye in an unsuitable race and then looked a tad flat last start behind Desert Lightning. It’s common for Waller horses to go only steady 2^nd up after a red-light performance when resuming. This girl is ready to peak now, and I think she’s a great bet around the $6 mark.

Desert Lightning will again provide tough opposition, he’s a horse I’ve always had a good opinion of and up until its last win it had raced well without much luck. He’s the type of horse that will gain plenty of confidence of that win and can go on with it here.

Sir Delius is a bit of a spruik of its latest effort in Sydney and whilst it looks very smart it does encounter some nice horses here and the price is very skinny and not much value. I’d rather be against it around the $2 mark than be backing it.  He can win but not with me on board. The barrier is a slight concern also, he could get posted wide on speed, if that happens, he will struggle to win.

Buckaroo is a classy horse although I don’t think he is near his peak yet, he has his eye on bigger riches in a month or so.

Backing #10 Moira (2 win units)

R8- The second of our Group 1’s and im looking to level stake 2 runners here.

The first of those is Another Wil, his run in the Memsie was a couple of levels below his best, but with all quality horses they deserve a 2^nd chance. He goes great 2^nd up, will be improved off his recent run, he loves Caulfield and flies at the trip. The $6.50 seems generous.

My second selection is the super mare Miss Roumbini, this mare gets plenty of ticks, she is a track n trip winner, is unbeaten 2^nd up, hasn’t missed a place since her bone chips were removed and is a winner of over a million dollars in her 10-start career. She has an electrifying turn of foot when conditions suit and there appears to be good speed to suit her run on style here. The $15 looks juicy too.

Damask Rose is another to look for late, she has nice ability and the fact the stable is keen to try her at this level is a tip, they aren’t time wasters and place their horses to win. If there is stable support, then it would pay to follow them in. She will be one to follow over the next couple of months.

Angel Capital’s was a great win when resuming, the barrier is a real concern at this level, he is certainly good enough to overcome that obstacle, I want better than the $3.50 though.

Another that could surprise is Chorlton Lane, it doesn’t want it wet and it the track improves is a good hope at $41. He ‘s a gun at the 1400M.

Backing #1 Another Wil and #15 Miss Roumbini (both 1 win unit)

R9- The penultimate race after the two highlights and what a lottery they have dished up here.

This is a deadest field job in the quaddy; I have Berkshire Breeze on top from Future History who I think will improve and is a crazy price at $41.

Half Yours is the rightful fave and could just blow them away, it has plenty in its favour and will get the pea run from the draw. You can leave me out of the $2.60 though.

Brayden Star can run a cheeky race as can the two Kiwi’s, Thedoctoroflove and Mark Twain, who have good form over the detch.

Backing #3 Future History (0.5 win units)

R10- The curtains close on a great day’s racing with a decent quality middle distance BM84 race.

Lincoln Rocks is cherry ripe to peak here and the $13 is way over what I have him marked. This will be his 3^rd run from a spell, and he has improved at each outing. He also has an excellent record at both the distance and at this stage of his campaign. Stacky goes on and he will give it very chance.

Gilded Water has always been thought of as an above average galloper, his effort first up was sound and should furnish him off nicely for this. The $2.80 is a little tight for my liking but he has an excellent chance.

Mr Verse is racing consistently and is always a chance I these types of races.

Fernao and Whiskey On The Hill are both looking to improve from recent fitness improving runs and must go into the quaddy and exotics.

Backing #9 Lincoln Rocks (1 win unit)

R1-5xx,1,4,8

R2-9xxx best of the day,5,7,6

R3-6,2,10,7

R4-6,1,7,4

R5-6xx,7,8??,5

R6-6xx,10….8,4

R7-10xx,4,9,2

R8-backing 1&15,10 knockout hope,9,14

R9-lottery 10,3 improver,17,18,15,8

R10-9x,8,10,1,3

Best of luck if you’re playing.