Caulfield 15/11/2025
Track – Soft 7
Rail – Out 6M (previously out 3M )
As we close out Cup Week, we now head to Caulfield for Sandown Guineas Day for an action packed 10 race card. Many of the topliners have headed for a rest but we still have some talented horses racing and there are some nice bets to be had.
R6-8
R7-2
R9-1 best of the day
R10-14 best value play
R1 – #13 Legacy Bay (1 win unit), #11 Cavallo Rampante (0.5 win unit)
R2 – No Bet
R3 – #2 Hiyaam Proud (1 win unit)
R4 – #10 Boston Rocks (1 win unit) and #2 Sghirripa (1 win unit)
R5 – No Bet
R6 – #8 Vestas (2 win units)
R7 – #2 Burma Star (2 win units)
R8 – No Bet
R9 – #1 My Gladiola (3 win units)
R10- #14 Somehwere (1 win unit, 2 place units)
TOTAL INVESTMENT – 14.5 units
R1– We kick off proceedings and I like the resuming Legacy Bay at odds. This mare is lightly raced, performs well fresh, is a winner at the distance, and draws to get a run just off the speed and finish strongly late. She also handles rain affected ground, the $13 also appeals.
Cavallo Rampante contests arguably an easier race than recent forays and can run well at big odds, she has decent wet track form also.
Just Like Gaby has ability and was scratched recently in favour of this. Her slight query is the lack of any success on wet ground.
Hot Statement is racing in career best form and is also a chance, her one start on a soft track was her debut run so im willing to forget that.
Backing #13 Legacy Bay (1 win unit), #11 Cavallo Rampante (0.5 win unit)
R2- Last start winner and topweight Black Run looks the hardest to beat here; this import looks to have acclimatised nicely going off its recent efforts. Team Archibald has certainly found a race where its opposition are dubious at the trip and in the conditions. He should control the race and be hard to run down, the price is too skinny for me though.
Genrichero finally returned to the winners list after a few runs below its talent level, if he can springboard of that run then he is a chance here.
Two horses from reputable stables of staying types are Tikemyson and Jaykayann, they are both hopes of being in the money, the latter is a better chance than its current quote of $51.
No Bet
R3- Another tricky event greets us here and I’ve gone looking out of the market given the question marks about some of the more fancied runners.
Hiyaam Proud is a horse I have a healthy respect for, he is unbeaten on soft ground, is a 2nd up winner, and will improve on his first up run where he was made to work too hard up on the speed. Its worth noting that he was narrowly beaten in this race last year, lets hope he can go one better here.
Sigiriya Rock was a nice winner last start, he was well fancied that day and did get a few favours in the run. The barrier is a concern, hopefully Melham can find some cover early and release him late down the outside.
Skippers Canyon is a massive query runner; the Stokes team are too smart to be producing him first up at 1700M on a wet deck if he wasn’t ready. He might be too god for them but im prepared to risk him at the price.
Opening Address is ready to improve after 2 runs back from a spell, it goes in as an outside chance in a tough race.
Backing #2 Hiyaam Proud (1 win unit)
R4- The Goulburn visitor Boston Rocks finds the right race here, he is hard fit now after recent racing, has won half his races at this trip, draws nicely and Micky Dee has had a previous spin around on him for a 3rd placing back in August on a soft track in a much tougher event.
Sghirripa is the class runner who is dropping markedly in grade, he loves affected tracks, fly’s 2nd up, has won at the track and is a multiple winner at the trip. I think one of these two wins the race and I am level staking them..
Favourites Beast Mode and Hedged have claims although they are significantly shorter than what I have marked them.
Backing #10 Boston Rocks (1 win unit) and #2 Sghirripa (1 win unit)
R5- The first of pour Group races the Summoned Stakes and this is a tricky mare’s event.
I’ve settled on the Moody/Coleman trained Blindedbythelight, plenty of ticks with this girl, stable is flying, Nolen is 2 from 2 on her, won her only start at the course and her only try at the 1600M, barrier one is the shortest way home and she excels on wet tracks. Plenty to like there.
Pondalowie is a frustrating horse with ability, she was ridden against her usual pattern on Cup Day and toughed it out ok to the line. I suspect they might ride her just behind the speed here and look to steal a break at the top of the straight.
Roll On High is racing well this campaign without winning and finds a suitable race, last prep see ran a bottler in a Group 3 race and that effort would win this if it can be replicated. The $3.20 isn’t very appealing though, I have her marked closer to $5.
Lake Vostok has had little luck at its last 2 runs; with clear running she may have won on Oaks Day. The wet tack is a plus for her and if she gets a change of luck she can certainly win this.
At this stage I am keeping my powder dry from a betting perspective, the way the track is playing is crucial here.
No Bet
R6- Things start to hot up here and I like the promising Vestas to step up and show everyone what a talented horse she is. Both her runs this time in have had excellent merit whilst many of the opposition may have more wins on the board, I think the mare will string a few together once things fall into place. Her run when resuming behind a Group 1 placegetter in She’s Bulletproof was outstanding, a repeat would blow this lot away. She was scratched last Saturday, I’m hoping that they had their eyes on this race as a preferred option, I haven’t heard anything to the contrary about her condition.
Proved is a very lightly raced mare of only 6 starts for 5 wins, if she can cross and get an easy lead in a race that is devoid of any real speed then she may prove tough to run down. Her breeding suggests the sting out of the ground is a plus as is the $23 on offer.
Photograph showed last start that a win mightn’t be too far away, she has decent ability and loves wet ground, another that seems a tad over the odds at $15.
Extratwo bobs up from time to time and this is the type of race she enjoys, a win from her wont surprise.
Backing #8 Vestas (2 win units)
R7- The Waller trained Burma Star was excellent on Cup Day and I can’t see any reason why he won’t continue his winning way. The 1600M looks a nice step up off his recent win and he absolutely loves wet tracks. The bonus is Sheza Alibi being in the race as we now get $6 about him.
Sheza Alibi is the obvious danger but is a ridiculous price, it can go around without me at $1.70 thank you very much.
Tagline is a consistent horse who has never missed a place on affected ground, it must go into the exotics.
Call Da Vinci has had 2 runs back from a spell and should be ready now, it has better than average wet track form too.
Backing #2 Burma Star (2 win units)
R8- The mighty C.F.Orr Stakes, I liked it when it was staged at the start of the Spring better, why these geniuses need to change what is working is intriguing at best.
Anyway, rant over, Jimmysstar is airborne at present, 3rd in the Everest and then backed that up with an excellent win at Randwick. He revels in soft ground, Loves Caulfield, loves the 1400M. only thing not to like is the price now. That said, he should just win.
Angel Capital appears to be the only danger, he’ a quality horse who wasn’t disgraced in the Everest, if Jimmy has an off day, then Angel wins.
Evaporate is the clear 3rd pick and an above average horse, I can’t see him troubling the other two though.
Pinstriped for 4th and that’s about all I can say.
No Bet
R9- Here’s one of my fave horses in My Gladiola, this filly should be $1.50 against this lot and we are going to get black odds, BET BET BET!! She recently got beaten a touch over 2 lengths by Tentrytis and easily beat the rest. She is thrown in here at the set weights and penalties conditions, hence my bet of the day.
If she is to be beaten then it maybe by Teine Aulelei, this filly was a fabulous run on Cox Plate Day, and then wasn’t disgraced by Sheza Aibi, the reduction in distance seems a tad strange given her run on style, but she is too good to dismiss.
Tupakara should be forgiven its last run, it is way better than that and can redeem itself here.
Inkaruna is ready to fire after 3 runs back and is worth throwing into the trifecta numbers.
Backing #1 My Gladiola (3 win units)
R10- The lucky last and I like the resuming Somewhere here at juicy odds. He is a first up winner, a 1400M winner, a placegetter on heavy ground. and the $17 seems over the odds to me. A 1×2 betting strategy is the way to go.
Taken is a promising horse who is building a nice record, he goes ok fresh, is drawn perfectly, Ethan Brown knows him well and he is unbeaten on soft ground.
Spione will have derived good benefit from its first up run and has never missed a place on affected ground, he is a hope.
Raikoke has good ability but would be better suited on top of the ground.
Throw Berkshire Shadow into your quaddy, if he returned to anything like his best form then he would give these a fright.
Backing #14 Somehwere (1 win unit, 2 place units)
R1-13v,11,8,12
R2-1x,12,6,11
R3-2v,11,9,3
R4-10 &,2…6,4
R5-9x,8,3,6
R6-8xx, 13,12,4
R7-2xx,12…5,1
R8-1x,5,2,4
R9-1xxx best of the day..9..4,2
R10-14x gv,7,13,6,1 not hopeless
Best of luck if you’re playing.