Racing Tips: Caulfield 11/10/2025

R1-2 best bet of the day

R3-5

R7-10 best value play

R10-12

R1 – #2 Mr Verse (3 win units)

R2 – No Bet

R3 – #5 Whisky On The Hill (2 win units)

R4 – #9 Movin Out (1 win unit)

R5 – No Bet

R6 – No Bet

R7 – #10 Damask Rose (2 win units)

R8 – #1 Rivelino (1 win unit)

R9 – #1 Giga Kick (1.5 win units)

R10- #12 Vestas (2 win units)

TOTAL INVESTMENT – 12.5 units

R1- We open the batting with my best bet of the day, Mr Verse. This ultra-consistent gelding comes back in distance to a far more suitable distance here, he is drawn perfectly to get a lovely run off a decent tempo and Shinn will produce him at the 250M to reel in the leaders and draw away. His only run at the track was last start when things weren’t run to his liking and he didn’t quite finish off as well as expected. I love the fact that the jockey sticks, he could have ridden most of his opposition and elected to stay with him, that’s good enough for me.

Justadeel looks the toughest to beat, he is hard fit now, is always around the money and Zahra stays aboard. The barrier is a small concern although he will go back, settle in the 2^nd half of the field, and look to make ground from the 700M. He is first time to Caulfield which can be a negative for some horses. With all of that to consider he is too good a horse to think he can’t overcome those obstacles.

Blindedbythelight has been a revelation since returning from a spell, winning both starts. She continues to improve with each run and will need to, given another steep rise in grade here.

Hot Too Go is drawn softly, has no weight and gets Williams back on, it will run a cheeky race.

Backing #2 Mr Verse (3 win units)

R2- What an open race we have here, I have 6 leading chances and may have still missed the winner. On that basis there is no suggested play.

Tres Magnifique won at her only start, is beautifully bred, hails from a smart stable, draws well, gets Zahra, and has good upside.

Sheza Alibi is almost impossible to line up given she is going from a low-level Townsville race to a carnival Saturday race. That said, she has been running fabulous times and the Moody camp wouldn’t throw her in the deep end if they didn’t have a good opinion of her. She is already $10 into $6.50, if the money continues to come for her then it should be hugely respected.

Point Barrow is racing well and is the deserved favourite, she had little luck last start and can atone here. The $3.20 is skinny against such an even lot though.

Brissy visitor Vein Girl was good at her first run in Melbourne and can elevate off that effort.

Surf’s Up was good when winning in Sydney for Waller and isn’t here for a picnic, she is a definite hope.

Prestige Snitzel was plain first up and is better than that, a dramatic improvement wont surprise.

No Bet

R3- A race where the winner gets a Melbourne Cup start and I’m surprised at the few acceptances and the lack of depth on offer, especially as it’s a Group 2 race worth $400K.

Whisky On The Hill appeals most, he’s relatively lightly raced for a 6yo (20 starts), has won 3 of 4 at the distance, is a two-time winner at the track, draws perfectly, gets Damian Lane to steer, is weighted nicely, and showed last start that it’s in peak form. He appears to have the most going for him against this lot.

Post Impressionist showed last start that he is returning to somewhere near his best, he drops in class off his last run, draws well, and is a winner at the trip.

Plymouth won well when taken to Benalla for a confidence booster last start, he will be competitive.

Scary went well when beaten by Whisky On The Hill last start, it carries no weight, and is ready to peak at its 4^th run in.

Backing #5 Whisky On The Hill (2 win units)

R4- A tricky race presents here, and I’ve gone looking for some value.

Movin Out is the horse I’ve settled on, she has had 2 fitness runs in readiness for this, and I particularly like that the stable is keen to back her up off last week. She is a two-time winner at the 1600M, Melham has won on her previously, and last time she was sent around off a 7 day back up she ran an excellent race in a Stakes event in Adelaide. The $14 appeals for a small play.

Sea What I See has been good since returning from an injury enforced lay off, she is a winner of 7 races from only 11 attempts demonstrating that she’s a winner. She is also a winner when 3^rd up and gets an in-form Craig Williams to ride.

Gala Queen is a handy mare on her day and is drawn to get the right run, she must go in.

Oh Too Good will race on speed and is a big chance too, I couldn’t come at the $2.60 though, I have her marked closer to $4.

Backing #9 Movin Out (1 win unit)

R5- King Zephyr is the clear on top pick here. A winner of 6 races from only 9 starts, he showed last start that he is back to his best. He gets in on the limit weight, is unbeaten at 1400M, and is one from one when 3^rd up. The only negative is the price; I can’t take $1.70 about him. The smarter way to play might be to stand him out to win in trifectas and first fours.

Snow Patrol is a chance, it has a victory over Southport Tycoon at this track/trip, and he would start close to favourite against this lot. A repeat of that effort would have him giving King Zephyr a run for its money.

Bengil is a quality mare albeit looking for something longer than this, she may sprint well fresh.

Berkshire Shadow is another who has performed well in better grade than this, he could be a knockout at massive odds.

Amenable is a classy galloper on his day and can pull out a good run first up, he’s a winner at the track/trip and is drawn to get a cosy run.

No Bet (suggest playing exotics perhaps)

R6- A field of four and Treasurethe Moment should be too good for them all things being equal. From barrier one, Frosty Lane should be keeping Globe in its sights and be too strong late.

The only risks are Globe getting a soft lead and being hard to run down, or Lane using too much petrol to keep Globe close and Buckaroo finishing over the top of them.

Not much more to say really, I won’t be playing.

No Bet

R7- One of the great mile races here, the Toorak Handicap. I like the ex-Kiwi Damask Rose. This mare has been excellent in her 2 runs back from a spell, she won her only run at 1600M and her only start when 3^rd up. The very astute Mark Walker has targeted this race for her, she gets Jamie Melham to ride, a low barrier draw, and will be looking to explode through the pack in the last 200M. The $14 appeals greatly.

Evaporate is the testing material, he returned to form last start with a gritty win, an excellent sign it had fully recovered from a recent setback. He is 3 from 4 with another placing at the 1600M and Blake Shinn will give it every chance from barrier 6.

Sepals is airborne at present, his only blemish this year was at this distance and he was immediately spelled. He has taken all before him since returning and whilst this is his stiffest test to date, he shows every sign that it’s well within his scope.

Lazzura is another who is thriving this prep winnings its past 2 starts, she has no form at the distance but gets JMac to overcome that.

Backing #10 Damask Rose (2 win units)

R8- The race of the day, the Caulfield Guineas, you will be well rewarded if you find the winner here. Again, I have narrowed it down to 6 chances, hopefully I’ve found the winner amongst those.

Rivelino is one that I’m going to have a small bet on. This colt from the Lees stable has been set specifically for this race, he arrives here at his 4^th run in the prep, is a winner of $1.7M in his brief career, gets a great draw and Criag Williams is a big race rider. In a race of many chances I’d rather take $23 about him than others that are much shorter in the market.

In a race of above average speed, Planet Red should get a soft run in transit and be finished off hard late. He is better than a $23 chance.

Navy Pilot is another drawn favourably, he was a nice winner last start and looks to peak here, he will be there at the 200M, unsure if he can run out a super strong 1600M though. Market says he will, he’s $13 into $6.50 this week.

Nepotism is one who is suited at 1600M, winning his only start at the distance. He has had two ‘fitness’ runs with this race in mind, and the stable support has come for him this week, $23 into $11. It wont surprise if he wins this.

Autumn Boy and Wodeton are both chances but are well below what I have them marked, probably throw them in the quaddy as insurance.

Backing #1 Rivelino (1 win unit)

R9- The Group 2 Schillaci, and what a sprinter he was, he would give this field a nice bath that’s for sure.

I’m sticking with Giga Kick to return to the winners list. He is well served at the weight scale, is unbeaten at 1100M, flies first up, and was victorious at his only venture to Caulfield. A winner of almost $13M (thanks PVL), and with plenty of ticks I am inclined to take the $6 on offer.

Arabian Summer is a very nice horse, somewhat underrated in my view. Her first up run had good merit, and I see her taking good improvement off that into this. She was very close up in the Oakleigh Plate and that is a good lead for this type of race.  

Benedetta is a classy mare, she has had a recent stable change, and the Maher team will be looking for immediate results. She certainly can give this a shake.

Niance was only plain when resuming and usually improves 2^nd up, she has won 7 of 12 starts and could easily surprise here.

Backing #1 Giga Kick (1.5 win units)

R10- The lucky last and I’m banking on the resuming Vestas to be the one to beat. Last preparation she didn’t come up as expected and was quickly sent back to the paddock after 2 runs. She has had a nice grounding or this that included a spin around on Monday to ensure she was ready to go. The $10 seems nice to round out our day.

Fancify is the rightful favourite, she is a winner of 7 races from only 17 starts and has also run 5 seconds to confirm her status and a consistent mare. She will take up a leading position and prove tough to run down.

Coeur Volante is usually better after a run but can still put in a good run when fresh. She is a winner of the Mannerism Stakes but then had a couple of failures at Group 1 level, this is a significant drop in grade from that and is well up to this lot.

Extratwo is a consistent mare and will be thereabouts, the sticky barrier is a negative, but she shouldn’t be dismissed.

Backing #12 Vestas (2 win units)

R1-2xxx best/day,5,13,15

R2-open race 15,4??,5,2,6,3 improver

R3-5xx,2,9,10

R4-tricky 9x value,6,3,5

R5-8xx,7,2,5v,1

R6-5 should win,2,4

R7-10xx gv,3,5,7

R8-lottery 1v,14,8,4,9,2

R9-1x,8,7,9

R10-12xx,4,2,8

Best of luck if you’re playing.