NBA Tips: Thursday Best Bets – 6/11/2025

05 November, 2025

(Photo credit to the original owner)

It’s a rematch of the 2023 NBA Finals when the Nuggets host the Heat on the NBA Thursday slate. Here are my tips and odds, thanks to TradieBet!

Miami Heat (4-3) at Denver Nuggets (4-2)

Thursday 06/11/2025 at 1:00pm AEDT. Venue: Ball Arena (Denver)

Nikola Jokic and his Nuggets host the Miami Heat on Thursday afternoon. Here is my betting preview and tips for this West vs East matchup!

SGM Bet Nikola Jokic 10+ Assists – Andrew Wiggins 15+ Points – Davion Mitchell 8+ Assists $5.50
Best Bet Over 242.5 pts $1.85

Last 5 Form

Nuggets Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets bounced back from a 2 pt loss against the Trail Blazers with a close home win over the Kings, 130-124. They’re 4-1 in their last 5. Jokic comes off scoring 34 pts and 14 assists.

Heat Miami Heat

Miami kicked off this road-trip with 2 straight defeats but they held on to beat the Clippers a few days ago. The trip to Denver is never easy but a road win over LA will boost their confidence.

Team Opp Score Result H/A Date Team Opp Score Result H/A Date
DEN SAC 130-124 W Home 05/11/25 MIA LAC 120-119 W Away 05/11/25
DEN POR 107-109 L Away 02/11/25 MIA LAL 120-130 L Away 04/11/25
DEN NOR 122-88 W Home 30/10/25 MIA SAN 101-107 L Away 31/10/25
DEN MIN 127-114 W Away 28/10/25 MIA CHR 144-117 W Home 29/10/25
DEN PHO 133-111 W Home 26/10/25 MIA NY 115-107 W Home 27/10/25

Head to Head

The last 2 meetings have been blowouts in the Nuggets favour by 10+ in each game.

Home Score Away Result Arena Margin Total Date
MIA 113-133 DEN Nuggets won by 20 pts @ Miami 20 246 Sat 18-Jan-2025
DEN 135-122 MIA Nuggets won by 13 pts @ Denver 13 257 Sat 9-Nov-2024

Best Bet

The Heat are underdogs and it’s fair to say, they’ll likely struggle on the road in Denver. They’re just 3-12 against the spread in the last 15 meetings and have lost their last 7. But the Over looks like the best bet. It’s saluted in 7 of the last 8 games when the Heat are away from Miami. Denver also comes off scoring 130 pts and they are the #1 scoring team in the NBA. The Over is 6-2 in their last 8 games as well.

Over 242.5 @ $1.85

NBA Same Game Multi Tips

Here are my NBA same game multi tips for the Nuggets against the Heat.

  • 1st Leg – Nikola Jokic 10+ Assists: Jokic is an assists beast at the moment. He dished out 14 assists in his last game and averages 11.6 assists across his last 5 games. His record against Miami is strong too, he’s had 10 and 14 assists in the last 2 meetings.
  • 2nd Leg – Andrew Wiggins 15+ Points: Wiggins is in solid form for the Heat, scoring 17 pts last game. In his last 4 games, he’s hit the 15+ point mark and this should be a high scoring affair in Denver.
  • 3rd Leg – Davion Mitchell 8+ Assists: For a bit of boost in this multi, Davion Mitchell is a good target in the assists player props. He’s coming off 9 assists against the Clippers and has beaten 8+ assists in 3 of his last 4 games.

$5.50 SGM @ TradieBet

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