Chris Scholtz previews the Newcastle and Caulfield meetings on November 18th
NEWCASTLE November 18
Best Bets
RACE 6 (3) SKY LAB: Astute Newcastle stable is sure to have set this G1 placegetter for this with his luckless last start sixth in the Rosehill Gold Cup (2000m) when less than two lengths from the winner in a bunched finish indicating he is in the right form. His career is littered with high rating Group performances up to 2400m and also includes a 2200m win in a $1 million race at the Gold Coast. Expect him to run to his best on his home track.
RACE 9: (11) TAVI TIME: Lightly raced talent had nothing more than a barrier trial when strongly fancied first-up over 1400m at Randwick as he was never tested after being badly held up for clear running from the turn. He won second up over 1550m in his last prep and it’s a big plus returning to his home track with a 4kg drop in weight from his Randwick seventh.
RACE 10: (6) PHEARSON: Strong effort second up when a close second in the Goulburn Cup (1400m), adding to his impressive record of finishing in the first two in 10 of his 13 starts. Sure to take improvement from that outing and nicely placed in this class over this trip. Race map points to him crossing from wide gate to keep the leader in his sights.
Selections
RACE 1: (2) MARKET MAGIC; (1) Gram; (5) Erno’s Cube; (4) Efharisto
RACE 2: (5) RESISTIBLE; (2) Toesonthenose; (6) Modern Millie; (4) Cosmic Field
RACE 3: (13) CAPTAIN UNDERPANTZ; (4) Satay Chicken; (8) Skyforger; (2) Rematch
RACE 4: (4) FALL FOR CINDY; (3) Portray; (5) Lekvarte; (1) Zoe’s Promise
RACE 5: (12) I’MINTOWIN; (6) Pervade; (4) Camaguey; (1) Aramayo
RACE 6: (3) SKY LAB; (5) Stroke Of Luck; (9) Canberra Legend; (2) Stockman
RACE 7: (4) SLY BOOTS; (13) Kind Words; (9) Until Valhalla; (12) Just In Time
RACE 8: (1) MAZU; (15) Dajraan; (6) Coal Crusher; (14) Opal Ridge
RACE 9: (11) TAVI TIME; (8) Sweet Mercy; (6) Oakfield Waratah; (3) Rogue Bear
RACE 10: (6) PHEARSON 1; (8) Ka Bling; (7) Capo Strada; (1) Much Much Better
Why They Can Win….
RACE 1: (1) MARKET MAGIC- Sharp trial winner from top 2YO stable. Certain to jump and run.
RACE 2: (5) RESISTIBLE – Well placed getting to this third up. Could control this from good draw.
RACE 3: (13) CAPTAIN UNDERPANTZ – Rates well with weight drop off impressive Queensland win. This big track suits his style.
RACE 4: (4) FALL TO CINDY – Honest mare suited back to her own sex. This one might fall into place for her.
RACE 5: (12) I’MINTOWIN – Impressive Sydney debut running fast time. Extra trip a query but rates to win on the limit.
RACE 7: (4) SLY BOOTS – Appeals as one of the better improvers in a tricky race. Will appreciate stepping up in distance.
RACE 8: (1) MAZU – Has had excuses this prep in the best G1 races. Strong trial has him on song again.
CAULFIELD November 18
Best Bets
RACE 7: (3) SKYBIRD
RACE 10: (2) SHE DANCES
For Value
RACE 8: (15) CROSSHAVEN
RACE 9: (11) RED SUN SENSATION
Selections
RACE 1: (2) AIN’TNODEELDUN; (1) Dunkel; (4) Let’srollthedice; (5) Saint Bathans
RACE 2: (10) FORBIDDEN CITY; (5) Ima Shelby; (6) Robusto; (8) Suparazi
RACE 3: (6) MARACANA; (9) Angry Skies; (11) Poison Chalice; (2) Tobaysure
RACE 4: (2) SALTAIRE; (11) Miss Roumbini; (12) Miraval Rose; (7) Commemorative
RACE 5: (7) SEMILLION: (9) Prowling; (4) Hypothetical; (11) Sghirripa
RACE 6: (1) ARKANSAW KID; (2) Brace Mead; (3) Snapback; (4) The Instructor
RACE 7: (3) SKYBIRD; (2) Coeur Volante; (6) Joliestar; (1) Kimochi
RACE 8: (15) CROSSHAVEN; (3) Strait Acer; (11) Magic Time; (7) Ayrton
RACE 9: (11) RED SUN SENSATION; (5) Maktoob; (3) Brayden Star; (10) Convener
RACE 10: (2) SHE DANCES; (1) Queen Of The Ball; (6) Fortunate Kiss; (3) Rose Quartz
TRIAL WATCH REPORT
NOTED TRIAL RUNNERS – November 17-20
CANTERBURY FRIDAY: Jagjit (R2); To The Extreme (R3); Zouphoria (R3); Gundy Bridge (R6); Vegas Raider (R6)
NEWCASTLE SATURDAY: Gram (R1); Market Magic (R1); Erno’s Cube (R1); Military Expert (R8); Dajraan (R8); Manbehindthemoney (R9)
KEMBLA GRANGE SATURDAY: Against The Law (R2); Long Memory (R2); Parade Ground (R4)
BATHURST SATURDAY: Long Memory (R2)
SCONE MONDAY: Satin And Silk (R5)
RECENT TRIAL WATCH WINNERS: Northumbria; Hard To Say; Quick Tempo; The Hawkesbury; Intervarsity; Way To The Stars; I’mintowin; Sharkim; Watch My Girl; Storm The Ramparts; Trapeze Pleasure; World Alliance; Chrysaor; Mumbai Muse; Yankee One; Estephania; Gai’s Artist; Kazou; Shangri La Express; Influential; Up To Mischief; Dream Hour; Luton Hoo; I Am Me; Just In Time
TRIAL POINTERS
WARWICK FARM November 8: MILITARY EXPERT looked good running to an easy win in his 1200m trial.
RANDWICK November 3: Justify 3YO JAGJIT was placed in his first two starts in May and June and should be winning his maiden some time soon after an impressive return to win his 1050m heat by almost three lengths (62.69; 34.53). Travelled widest from the start but was always under a good hold and had no trouble putting them away when asked to extend off the turn.
RANDWICK October 20: Unraced TO THE EXTREME has now won two of her three trials with this effort another positive sign that she has the talent to win races. Came from midfield under a soft ride to easily run past the leader for a strong win in her 742m heat (43.63; 33.32). a good performance from previously noted ZOUPHORIA in her C1/Maiden heat points to positive prospects when she goes to the races.
HAWKESBURY October 16: Keep an eye on the Godolphin maiden PARADE GROUND. Looked open to improvement on a good placing in his 1000m heat.
ROSEHILL October 13: Lonhro mare LONG MEMORY was having her first trial since her only race start 12 months ago and performed strongly to win her 900m heat (56.01; 35.39). Jumped to the lead but was given no peace yet kept up a strong gallop under a kind ride to win with some authority. Should repay her connections for their perseverance.
RANDWICK October 6: Zoustar filly ZOUPHORIA, a lightly raced maiden from the Waterhouse/Bott yard, is ar certain improver after she was too sharp for her rivals in the fastest of the four heats over 740m (42.78; 32.82) in her first trial since May.
BLACKBOOK REPORT
ELIGIBLE BLACKBOOK RUNNERS – November 18-19
ASCOT SATURDAY: War Gem (R3); My Bella Mae (R7)
NEWCASTLE SATURDAY: Stroke Of Luck (R6); Rustic Steel (R8); Rogue Bear (R9); Colour Sergeant (R9); Ka Bling (R10)
CAULFIELD SATURDAY: Let’srollthedice (R1); Saltaire (R4); Commemorative (R4); Vivy Air (R7); Munhamek (R8); Crosshaven (R8); Rose Quartz (R10)
TAREE SUNDAY: Rogue Bear (R7)
RECENT BLACKBOOK WINNERS: Schwarz; I’ve Bean Tryin’; Storm The Ramparts; Without A Fight; Stroke Of Luck; Crackerjack Prince; Pesto; Sharp Shock; Attrition; Territory Express; Magic Time; Queen Of Dragons; Foujita San; Airman; Vienna Princess; First Immortal; Espiona; Archo Nacho; Satness; Wolfy; Unspoken; Recommendation; Snapback
BLACKBOOKERS – Selected November 11
(Follow for next 3 starts)
AMOKURA; FINEPOINT; KIN; RUE DE ROYALE; SUMO STAR