Hawthorn v Brisbane Lions, Marvel Stadium

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Last updated: 03 November, 2026

Sam Mitchell’s team will be licking their wounds this week after blowing a 41-point lead and
conceding two goals in 30 seconds to lose against Port Adelaide. But Hawthorn can also
take confidence out of how they played in a dominant first half. The Hawks have been
Brisbane’s bogey side since 2020, winning their last four encounters. But this will be the first
time the teams have faced off at Marvel Stadium, a venue the Lions love playing at.
Brisbane have surged back into form on the back of the exuberance of youth, headlined by
Rising Star nominee Kai Lohmann. Surely this will be the Lions’ first victory against
Hawthorn since 2019.

 

TIP: Brisbane Lions by 19 points, Jarrod Berry to have 20 or more possessions

 

Hawthorn will be stewing over the Port Adelaide loss, where a 41-point lead vanished in the second half. Their first-half football showed plenty, though. Brisbane have been chasing a win over them since 2019, losing four straight. This one moves to Marvel Stadium, a ground the Lions enjoy, and youngsters like Kai Lohmann have lifted their form. For anyone reading AFL betting tips, my AFL prediction leans Brisbane by around 19 points. These AFL tips also include Jarrod Berry reaching 20 or more possessions. Hawthorn’s defence needs fixing quickly to stay in this one. Gamble responsibly and set a deposit limit.